Well done! It sounds like you used the standard fastai model? I figured there was untapped potential there in the right hands Very well done, congrats!
Great job @SidNg! Impressive jumps from public to private leaderboards, especially in the M5 sales forecast. Could you maybe share your experience on what helped your model to avoid overfitting on the public leaderboard and improve generalization?
M5 is very competitive. 1st & 100th placing only 0.08 difference in LB score. So a small improvement in your score can jump a few hundred places in LB
Many participants use very similar techniques (LGBM + multiplier) & features (lag, window, calendar, …). I’m one of few which uses NN (fast.ai Tabular). So either I will do very well or very badly in final placing
Competition metric is quite tricky as predicting 0 sales do not count (organizers want large sales with high sell price). It’s really difficult to judge how you fare based on just validation loss. Visually inspecting the plots helped a lot
M5 only allow 1 final submission. I just submit a safe, conservative entry. Nothing fancy, just follow principles in Jeremy’s Rossmann lesson
PS: To see how my Tabular model fares for ts forcasting, let’s wait for Organizer’s summary report. The previous M4 competition, only a few Kaggle entries beat the Organizer’s benchmark models
What Is Rossman? Can you share as well the link/Content.
I really want to receive a medal but unfortunately I don’t know how to tweak the Fastai models, so I decided to learn the basic in pytorch but I am encountering difficulties, in one hand pytorch tuts show a way to use transfer learning in the second hand other developers as abishek write their own stuff.
I am a bit lost, do you have a suggestion?