Cats&Dogs Redux

I did not see an uber thread for cats and dogs redux Kaggle competition, so here it is.

Question: Looks like my model is very over confident. I see this when I draw a histogram of probabilities. I have not tried updated VGG (with batch norm) and ensembling yet. But, wondering if you all also see an overly confident model?

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Iā€™m not sure that it is overly confident - it is genuinely a very easy dataset if you start with an imagenet model. Have you tried clipping it to, say [0.001,0.999] and submitting it to Kaggle?

@jeremy: Actually, I knew it is overconfident because confusion matrix says so (There are false predictions with very high probability)